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Takeda Pharma, Net Income Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward by 33%
4502 Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited 【IFRS】
Earnings ReportTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited <4502> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results (based on IFRS) after the market closed on October 30th (15:40). The consolidated net income for the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to September) dropped 40.0% from the same period last year to 112 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income has decreased 32.9%, from the previous forecast of 228 billion yen to 153 billion yen (compared to 107 billion yen in the previous period), leading to a reduction in the profit growth rate from 2.1 times to 41.8%.
Based on the first-half performance announced by the company and the full-year plan, our calculation indicates that the consolidated net income/loss for the October to March period (second half) is expected to turn into a profit of 40.5 billion yen (compared to a loss of 79.3 billion yen in the same period last year).
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (2Q), the consolidated net income/loss turned to a loss of 11.8 billion yen (compared to a profit of 92.0 billion yen in the same period last year). The operating profit margin sharply declined from 15.7% in the same period last year to 6.2%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2023 | 2,101,707 | 119,230 | 39,053 | 41,365 | 26.5 | 74.0 | Oct 26, 2023 | IFRS |
| Apr - Sep, 2024 | 2,384,028 | 350,576 | 255,976 | 187,294 | 118.9 | 146.2 | Oct 31, 2024 | IFRS |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 | 2,219,481 | 253,561 | 178,804 | 112,441 | 71.6 | 73.6 | Oct 30, 2025 | IFRS |
| YoY | -6.9% | -27.7% | -30.1% | -40.0% | -39.8% |
First Half Results vs. Previous Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Guidance | ー | ー | ー | ー | - | 100 | May 8, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Results | 2,219,481 | 253,561 | 178,804 | 112,441 | 71.6 | 100 | Oct 30, 2025 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | - | - | - | - | - |
Guidance Update
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 4,530,000 | 475,000 | 307,000 | 228,000 | 144.3 | 200 | May 8, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 New | 4,500,000 | 400,000 | 243,000 | 153,000 | 96.9 | 200 | Oct 30, 2025 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | -0.7% | -15.8% | -20.8% | -32.9% | -32.9% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 2,197,523 | -7,990 | -80,892 | -79,366 | -50.3 | 98 | May 8, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 2,280,519 | 146,439 | 64,196 | 40,559 | 25.7 | 100 | Oct 30, 2025 | IFRS |
| YoY | +3.8% | - | - | - | - |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 4,263,762 | 214,075 | 52,791 | 144,067 | 92.1 | 188 | May 9, 2024 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2025 | 4,581,551 | 342,586 | 175,084 | 107,928 | 68.4 | 196 | May 8, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 4,500,000 | 400,000 | 243,000 | 153,000 | 96.9 | 200 | Oct 30, 2025 | IFRS |
| YoY | -1.8% | +16.8% | +38.8% | +41.8% | +41.7% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 1,176,038 | 184,247 | 119,372 | 92,046 | 58.4 | 15.7 | Oct 31, 2024 | IFRS |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 1,144,124 | 66,942 | 26,407 | 23,789 | 15.1 | 5.9 | Jan 30, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 1,053,399 | -74,932 | -107,299 | -103,155 | -65.3 | -7.1 | May 8, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 1,106,685 | 184,566 | 150,630 | 124,243 | 79.4 | 16.7 | Jul 30, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 1,112,796 | 68,995 | 28,174 | -11,802 | -7.5 | 6.2 | Oct 30, 2025 | IFRS |
| YoY | -5.4% | -62.6% | -76.4% | - | - |
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