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TOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward by 7%
5423 TOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING CO., LTD. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportTOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING CO., LTD. <5423> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results in the afternoon session on January 23rd (14:00). The ordinary profit (non-consolidated) for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) significantly dropped 61.6% from the same period last year to 9.53 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for ordinary profit has decreased 6.7%, from the previous forecast of 10.5 billion yen to 9.80 billion yen (compared to 31.6 billion yen in the previous period), leading to an increase in the profit decline rate from 66.8% to 69.0%.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) has decreased 19.9%, from the previous forecast of 3.51 billion yen to 2.81 billion yen (compared to 16.7 billion yen in the same period of the previous year), leading to an increase in the profit decline rate from 79.0% to 83.1%.
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the ordinary profit significantly dropped to 2.55 billion yen, a 74.3% decrease compared to the same period last year. The operating profit margin sharply declined from 11.9% in the same period last year to 3.1%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 276,628 | 30,157 | 31,384 | 22,151 | 200.3 | 79.0 | Jan 19, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 254,712 | 23,512 | 24,821 | 16,864 | 156.4 | 78.5 | Jan 24, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 201,846 | 8,175 | 9,536 | 9,399 | 91.5 | 97.3 | Jan 23, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -20.8% | -65.2% | -61.6% | -44.3% | -41.5% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 130,406 | 3,455 | 3,517 | 5,432 | 53.0 | 25 | Oct 17, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 138,306 | 2,155 | 2,817 | 4,232 | 41.3 | 25 | Jan 23, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +6.1% | -37.6% | -19.9% | -22.1% | -22.1% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 264,300 | 9,500 | 10,500 | 10,000 | 97.5 | 50 | Oct 17, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 272,200 | 8,200 | 9,800 | 8,800 | 85.8 | 50 | Jan 23, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +3.0% | -13.7% | -6.7% | -12.0% | -12.0% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 152,505 | 16,188 | 16,718 | 11,372 | 106.2 | 25 | Apr 25, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 138,306 | 2,155 | 2,817 | 4,232 | 41.3 | 25 | Jan 23, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -9.3% | -86.7% | -83.1% | -62.8% | -61.1% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 367,242 | 38,066 | 39,719 | 27,958 | 253.5 | 50 | Apr 26, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 326,775 | 30,105 | 31,612 | 21,203 | 198.0 | 50 | Apr 25, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 272,200 | 8,200 | 9,800 | 8,800 | 85.8 | 50 | Jan 23, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -16.7% | -72.8% | -69.0% | -58.5% | -56.6% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 80,442 | 9,595 | 9,927 | 7,033 | 65.2 | 11.9 | Jan 24, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 72,063 | 6,593 | 6,791 | 4,339 | 40.5 | 9.1 | Apr 25, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 73,862 | 4,767 | 5,314 | 3,728 | 36.2 | 6.5 | Jul 18, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 60,032 | 1,278 | 1,669 | 840 | 8.2 | 2.1 | Oct 17, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 67,952 | 2,130 | 2,553 | 4,831 | 47.0 | 3.1 | Jan 23, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -15.5% | -77.8% | -74.3% | -31.3% | -27.9% |
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