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NICHIRYO BAKING, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward to an Unexpected 56% Decrease
2218 NICHIRYO BAKING CO.,LTD. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportNICHIRYO BAKING CO.,LTD. <2218> [SSE] announced its financial results after the market closed on January 29th (15:30). The ordinary profit (non-consolidated) for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) significantly dropped 61.6% from the same period last year to 101 million yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for ordinary profit has decreased 57.1%, from the previous forecast of 280 million yen to 120 million yen (compared to 274 million yen in the previous period). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 56.2% decrease in profit.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) has decreased 86.5%, from the previous forecast of 185 million yen to 25 million yen (compared to 86 million yen in the same period of the previous year). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 70.9% decrease in profit.
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the ordinary profit significantly dropped to 6 million yen, a 92.0% decrease compared to the same period last year. The operating profit margin worsened from 1.4% in the same period last year to 0.0%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 13,554 | 277 | 293 | 186 | 89.1 | 101.4 | Jan 26, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 13,932 | 250 | 263 | 163 | 77.9 | 96.0 | Jan 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 14,330 | 93 | 101 | 49 | 23.5 | 84.2 | Jan 29, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +2.9% | -62.8% | -61.6% | -69.9% | -69.9% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 9,686 | 189 | 185 | 118 | 56.4 | 15 | Oct 28, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 9,686 | 29 | 25 | 18 | 8.6 | 15 | Jan 29, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | 0.0% | -84.7% | -86.5% | -84.7% | -84.7% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 19,000 | 280 | 280 | 170 | 81.2 | 15 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 19,000 | 120 | 120 | 70 | 33.5 | 15 | Jan 29, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | 0.0% | -57.1% | -57.1% | -58.8% | -58.8% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 9,329 | 82 | 86 | 95 | 45.4 | 15 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 9,686 | 29 | 25 | 18 | 8.6 | 15 | Jan 29, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +3.8% | -64.6% | -70.9% | -81.1% | -81.1% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 17,986 | 274 | 289 | 207 | 99.0 | 20 | May 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 18,444 | 264 | 274 | 213 | 101.8 | 15 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 19,000 | 120 | 120 | 70 | 33.5 | 15 | Jan 29, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +3.0% | -54.5% | -56.2% | -67.1% | -67.2% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 4,817 | 68 | 75 | 45 | 21.5 | 1.4 | Jan 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 4,512 | 14 | 11 | 50 | 23.9 | 0.3 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 4,501 | 17 | 25 | 11 | 5.6 | 0.4 | Jul 25, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 4,813 | 74 | 70 | 41 | 19.7 | 1.5 | Oct 28, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 5,016 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -1.4 | 0.0 | Jan 29, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +4.1% | -97.1% | -92.0% | - | - |
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