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Mitsubishi Paper Mills, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward to an Unexpected 23% Decrease
3864 Mitsubishi Paper Mills Limited 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportMitsubishi Paper Mills Limited <3864> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results after the market closed on February 13th (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) significantly dropped 92.4% from the same period last year to 0.20 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has decreased 36.4%, from the previous forecast of 5.50 billion yen to 3.50 billion yen (compared to 4.54 billion yen in the previous period). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 23.0% decrease in profit.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the consolidated ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) has decreased 38.9%, from the previous forecast of 5.13 billion yen to 3.13 billion yen (compared to 4.09 billion yen in the same period of the previous year). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 23.4% decrease in profit.
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the consolidated ordinary profit/loss turned to a loss of 0.15 billion yen (compared to a profit of 2.25 billion yen in the same period last year). The operating profit/loss margin drastically worsened from 3.3% in the same period last year to -3.0%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 144,669 | 2,882 | 4,332 | -459 | -10.5 | 61.0 | Feb 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 132,655 | 2,413 | 2,704 | 2,401 | 54.8 | 59.5 | Feb 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 117,761 | -1,090 | 205 | -2,047 | -46.7 | 5.9 | Feb 13, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -11.2% | - | -92.4% | - | - |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 90,977 | 4,942 | 5,138 | 4,781 | 109.1 | 15 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 80,977 | 1,942 | 3,138 | 2,781 | 63.5 | 15 | Feb 13, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -11.0% | -60.7% | -38.9% | -41.8% | -41.8% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 170,000 | 5,000 | 5,500 | 3,500 | 79.9 | 15 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 160,000 | 2,000 | 3,500 | 1,500 | 34.2 | 15 | Feb 13, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -5.9% | -60.0% | -36.4% | -57.1% | -57.1% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 87,542 | 3,633 | 4,098 | 4,575 | 104.4 | 15 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 80,977 | 1,942 | 3,138 | 2,781 | 63.5 | 15 | Feb 13, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -7.5% | -46.5% | -23.4% | -39.2% | -39.2% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 193,462 | 5,410 | 7,098 | 4,170 | 95.3 | 10 | May 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 175,942 | 4,567 | 4,548 | 4,343 | 99.1 | 15 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 160,000 | 2,000 | 3,500 | 1,500 | 34.2 | 15 | Feb 13, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -9.1% | -56.2% | -23.0% | -65.5% | -65.5% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 44,255 | 1,479 | 2,254 | 2,633 | 60.1 | 3.3 | Feb 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 43,287 | 2,154 | 1,844 | 1,942 | 44.3 | 5.0 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 39,461 | -1,221 | -1,093 | -1,316 | -30.0 | -3.1 | Aug 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 39,562 | 1,279 | 1,455 | 35 | 0.8 | 3.2 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 38,738 | -1,148 | -157 | -766 | -17.5 | -3.0 | Feb 13, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -12.5% | - | - | - | - |
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