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NIPPON STEEL, Net Income Forecast for the Fiscal Year Loss Widened in Downward Revision
5401 NIPPON STEEL CORPORATION 【IFRS】
Earnings ReportNIPPON STEEL CORPORATION <5401> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results (based on IFRS) after the market closed on February 5th (15:30). The consolidated net income/loss for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) turned into a loss of 45.0 billion yen (compared to a profit of 362 billion yen in the same period last year).
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income/loss has been revised downward from an expected loss of 60.0 billion yen to a loss of 70.0 billion yen (compared to a profit of 350 billion yen in the previous period), indicating an expansion in the loss margin.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the consolidated net income for the October to March period (second half) has decreased 18.7%, from the previous forecast of 53.3 billion yen to 43.3 billion yen (compared to 106 billion yen in the same period of the previous year), leading to an increase in the profit decline rate from 50.1% to 59.4%.
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the consolidated net income dropped to 68.3 billion yen, a 42.4% decrease compared to the same period last year. The operating profit margin drastically worsened from 8.8% in the same period last year to 4.2%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 6,641,816 | 618,683 | 608,085 | 440,914 | 95.8 | 79.6 | Feb 7, 2024 | IFRS |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 6,552,498 | 566,125 | 548,013 | 362,077 | 73.6 | 104.5 | Feb 6, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 7,256,323 | 107,051 | 56,110 | -45,002 | -8.6 | ー | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +10.7% | -81.1% | -89.8% | - | - |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 5,364,353 | ー | ー | 53,380 | 10.2 | 12 | Nov 5, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 5,364,353 | ー | ー | 43,380 | 8.3 | 12 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | 0.0% | - | - | -18.7% | -18.7% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 10,000,000 | ー | ー | -60,000 | -11.5 | 24 | Nov 5, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 New | 10,000,000 | ー | ー | -70,000 | -13.4 | 24 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | 0.0% | - | - | -16.7% | -16.6% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 4,315,791 | 172,207 | 160,123 | 106,880 | 21.4 | 16 | May 9, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 5,364,353 | ー | ー | 43,380 | 8.3 | 12 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +24.3% | - | - | -59.4% | -61.3% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 8,868,097 | 778,662 | 763,972 | 549,372 | 119.3 | 32 | May 9, 2024 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2025 | 8,695,526 | 547,960 | 524,377 | 350,227 | 70.2 | 32 | May 9, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 10,000,000 | ー | ー | -70,000 | -13.4 | 24 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +15.0% | - | - | - | - |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 2,172,763 | 190,372 | 183,759 | 118,730 | 24.1 | 8.8 | Feb 6, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 2,143,028 | -18,165 | -23,636 | -11,850 | -2.4 | -0.8 | May 9, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 2,008,749 | -139,559 | -145,193 | -195,833 | -37.5 | -6.9 | Aug 1, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 2,626,898 | 136,724 | 115,089 | 82,453 | 15.8 | 5.2 | Nov 5, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 2,620,676 | 109,886 | 86,214 | 68,378 | 13.1 | 4.2 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +20.6% | -42.3% | -53.1% | -42.4% | -45.8% |
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