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Shinhokoku Material, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward to an Unexpected 12% Decrease
5542 Shinhokoku Material Corp. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportShinhokoku Material Corp. <5542> [TSE Std] announced its financial results in the afternoon session on November 7th (13:30). The ordinary profit (non-consolidated) for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending December 2025 (January to September) increased 10.7% from the same period last year, reaching 488 million yen.
However, the full-year forecast for ordinary profit has decreased 24.7%, from the previous forecast of 770 million yen to 580 million yen (compared to 656 million yen in the previous period). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of an 11.6% decrease in profit.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the ordinary profit for the July to December period (second half) has decreased 46.9%, from the previous forecast of 405 million yen to 215 million yen (compared to 296 million yen in the same period of the previous year). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 27.4% decrease in profit.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (3Q), the ordinary profit increased 51.9% from the same period last year, reaching 123 million yen. However, the operating profit margin worsened from 5.5% in the same period last year to 5.0%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan - Sep, 2023 | 4,732 | 457 | 472 | 356 | 52.9 | 73.3 | Nov 9, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Sep, 2024 | 4,519 | 431 | 441 | 331 | 49.2 | 67.2 | Nov 8, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Sep, 2025 | 4,363 | 417 | 488 | 361 | 54.2 | 84.1 | Nov 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -3.5% | -3.2% | +10.7% | +9.1% | +10.0% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Prev | 3,123 | 392 | 405 | 325 | 48.8 | 15 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 New | 2,423 | 142 | 215 | 155 | 23.3 | 15 | Nov 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -22.4% | -63.8% | -46.9% | -52.3% | -52.3% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2025 Prev | 6,300 | 750 | 770 | 600 | 90.1 | 25 | Feb 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 New | 5,600 | 500 | 580 | 430 | 64.6 | 25 | Nov 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -11.1% | -33.3% | -24.7% | -28.3% | -28.3% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2024 | 3,051 | 289 | 296 | 308 | 45.8 | 15 | Feb 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Guidance | 2,423 | 142 | 215 | 155 | 23.3 | 15 | Nov 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -20.6% | -50.9% | -27.4% | -49.7% | -49.2% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2023 | 6,484 | 628 | 644 | 476 | 70.8 | 20 | Feb 9, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2024 | 6,209 | 645 | 656 | 576 | 85.7 | 25 | Feb 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 Guidance | 5,600 | 500 | 580 | 430 | 64.6 | 25 | Nov 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -9.8% | -22.5% | -11.6% | -25.3% | -24.6% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 1,361 | 75 | 81 | 63 | 9.4 | 5.5 | Nov 8, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 1,690 | 214 | 215 | 245 | 36.5 | 12.7 | Feb 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 1,645 | 211 | 216 | 161 | 24.1 | 12.8 | May 9, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 1,532 | 147 | 149 | 114 | 17.1 | 9.6 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 1,186 | 59 | 123 | 86 | 12.9 | 5.0 | Nov 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -12.9% | -21.3% | +51.9% | +36.5% | +37.8% |
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