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NOMURA, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Upward by 37%, Raises Record High Profit Forecast, Dividend Revised Upward by 27 Yen
7131 NOMURA CORPORATION 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportNOMURA CORPORATION <7131> [TSE Std] announced its financial results after the market closed on September 11th (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending October 2025 (November 2024 to July 2025) expanded 555 million yen, an increase 38.1% compared to the same period last year.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has been revised upward 36.8%, from the previous forecast of 544 million yen to 744 million yen (compared to 510 million yen in the previous period), increasing the growth rate from 6.7% to 45.9%, further surpassing the previous forecast of record-high profits for five consecutive terms.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the upward revision, our estimate of the consolidated ordinary profit for the May to October period (second half) is expected to increase 86.6%, from the previous forecast of 231 million yen to 431 million yen (compared to 238 million yen in the same period of the previous year), turning to an 81.1% increase in the consolidated ordinary profit outlook.
In light of the strong performance, the company has significantly increased its planned year-end lump-sum dividend for the current fiscal year from the original plan of 62 yen to 89 yen (compared to 59 yen in the previous period).
In the most recent three-month period, from May to July (3Q), the consolidated ordinary profit increased 86.2% from the same period last year, reaching 242 million yen. The operating profit margin significantly improved from 8.2% in the same period last year to 12.9%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov - Jul, 2022 | 4,450 | 359 | 358 | 227 | 172.1 | 80.3 | Sep 13, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Nov - Jul, 2023 | 4,777 | 398 | 402 | 258 | 195.3 | 78.8 | Sep 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Nov - Jul, 2024 | 5,129 | 554 | 555 | 371 | 281.0 | 74.6 | Sep 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +7.4% | +39.2% | +38.1% | +43.8% | +43.9% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May - Oct, 2025 Prev | 3,450 | 233 | 231 | 145 | 109.7 | 62 | Jun 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| May - Oct, 2025 New | 3,823 | 432 | 431 | 301 | 227.6 | 89 | Sep 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +10.8% | +85.4% | +86.6% | +107.6% | +107.6% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct, 2025 Prev | 6,700 | 544 | 544 | 352 | 266.2 | 62 | Dec 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct, 2025 New | 7,073 | 743 | 744 | 508 | 384.2 | 89 | Sep 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +5.6% | +36.6% | +36.8% | +44.3% | +44.3% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May - Oct, 2024 | 3,401 | 235 | 238 | 165 | 124.9 | 59 | Dec 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| May - Oct, 2025 Guidance | 3,823 | 432 | 431 | 301 | 227.6 | 89 | Sep 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +12.4% | +83.8% | +81.1% | +82.4% | +82.3% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct, 2023 | 5,972 | 448 | 446 | 290 | 219.6 | 52 | Dec 14, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Oct, 2024 | 6,612 | 505 | 510 | 339 | 256.5 | 59 | Dec 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct, 2025 Guidance | 7,073 | 743 | 744 | 508 | 384.2 | 89 | Sep 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +7.0% | +47.1% | +45.9% | +49.9% | +49.8% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May - Jul, 2024 | 1,566 | 128 | 130 | 84 | 63.6 | 8.2 | Sep 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Aug - Oct, 2024 | 1,835 | 107 | 108 | 81 | 61.3 | 5.8 | Dec 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Nov - Jan, 2024 | 1,576 | 132 | 131 | 83 | 62.9 | 8.4 | Mar 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Feb - Apr, 2025 | 1,674 | 179 | 182 | 124 | 94.1 | 10.7 | Jun 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| May - Jul, 2025 | 1,879 | 243 | 242 | 164 | 124.2 | 12.9 | Sep 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +20.0% | +89.8% | +86.2% | +95.2% | +95.3% |
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