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Mercuria, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward by 16%
7347 Mercuria Holdings Co.,Ltd. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportMercuria Holdings Co.,Ltd. <7347> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results after the market closed on November 13th (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending December 2025 (January to September) significantly dropped 91.1% from the same period last year to 0.07 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has decreased 16.1%, from the previous forecast of 3.10 billion yen to 2.60 billion yen (compared to 1.15 billion yen in the previous period), leading to a reduction in the profit growth rate from 2.7 times to 2.2 times.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the consolidated ordinary profit for the July to December period (second half) has decreased 15.3%, from the previous forecast of 3.25 billion yen to 2.75 billion yen (compared to 0.65 billion yen in the same period of the previous year), leading to a reduction in the profit growth rate from 5.0 times to 4.2 times.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (3Q), the consolidated ordinary profit decreased to 0.22 billion yen, an 18.8% decrease compared to the same period last year. The operating profit margin decreased from 30.3% in the same period last year to 23.3%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan - Sep, 2023 | 4,959 | 848 | 1,051 | 719 | 36.7 | 69.1 | Nov 13, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Sep, 2024 | 3,693 | 756 | 788 | 478 | 24.7 | 68.1 | Nov 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Sep, 2025 | 2,765 | 101 | 70 | 40 | 2.1 | 2.7 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -25.1% | -86.6% | -91.1% | -91.6% | -91.5% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Prev | 5,809 | 3,191 | 3,259 | 2,127 | 109.9 | 22 | Aug 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 New | 5,159 | 2,691 | 2,759 | 1,827 | 94.4 | 22 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -11.2% | -15.7% | -15.3% | -14.1% | -14.1% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2025 Prev | 7,750 | 3,100 | 3,100 | 2,000 | 103.4 | 22 | Feb 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 New | 7,100 | 2,600 | 2,600 | 1,700 | 87.9 | 22 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -8.4% | -16.1% | -16.1% | -15.0% | -15.0% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2024 | 3,300 | 652 | 651 | 196 | 10.1 | 22 | Feb 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Guidance | 5,159 | 2,691 | 2,759 | 1,827 | 94.4 | 22 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +56.3% | +312.7% | +323.8% | +832.1% | +832.1% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2023 | 5,842 | 1,344 | 1,520 | 1,055 | 54.0 | 21 | Feb 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2024 | 5,566 | 975 | 1,157 | 506 | 26.2 | 22 | Feb 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 Guidance | 7,100 | 2,600 | 2,600 | 1,700 | 87.9 | 22 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +27.6% | +166.7% | +124.7% | +236.0% | +236.0% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 1,427 | 433 | 282 | 168 | 8.7 | 30.3 | Nov 13, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 1,873 | 219 | 369 | 28 | 1.5 | 11.7 | Feb 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 852 | -111 | -169 | -119 | -6.2 | -13.0 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 1,089 | 20 | 10 | -8 | -0.4 | 1.8 | Aug 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 824 | 192 | 229 | 167 | 8.7 | 23.3 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -42.3% | -55.7% | -18.8% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
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