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TSUBAKIMOTO CHAIN, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward by 4%
6371 TSUBAKIMOTO CHAIN CO. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportTSUBAKIMOTO CHAIN CO. <6371> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results after the market closed on October 31st (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to September) decreased 9.9% from the same period last year to 10.1 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has decreased 4.3%, from the previous forecast of 23.0 billion yen to 22.0 billion yen (compared to 25.3 billion yen in the previous period), leading to an increase in the profit decline rate from 9.2% to 13.2%.
Based on the first-half performance announced by the company and the full-year plan, our calculation indicates that the consolidated ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) is expected to decrease 15.8% from the same period last year to 11.8 billion yen.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (2Q), the consolidated ordinary profit grew 11.5% from the same period last year, reaching 5.76 billion yen. However, the operating profit margin worsened from 7.7% in the same period last year to 7.1%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2023 | 128,760 | 8,622 | 10,364 | 7,300 | 66.4 | 44.2 | Oct 31, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2024 | 136,360 | 9,459 | 11,225 | 10,014 | 95.0 | 44.3 | Oct 31, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 | 135,634 | 8,302 | 10,116 | 9,921 | 99.1 | 46.0 | Oct 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -0.5% | -12.2% | -9.9% | -0.9% | +4.4% |
First Half Results vs. Previous Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Guidance | 140,000 | 9,500 | 10,000 | 10,000 | 102.0 | 40 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Results | 135,634 | 8,302 | 10,116 | 9,921 | 99.1 | 40 | Oct 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -3.1% | -12.6% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -2.8% |
Guidance Update
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 290,000 | 21,500 | 23,000 | 20,000 | 205.2 | 80 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 284,000 | 20,000 | 22,000 | 19,000 | 194.9 | 80 | Oct 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -2.1% | -7.0% | -4.3% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 142,833 | 13,395 | 14,107 | 12,108 | 116.4 | 47 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 148,366 | 11,698 | 11,884 | 9,079 | 93.1 | 40 | Oct 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +3.9% | -12.7% | -15.8% | -25.0% | -20.0% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 266,812 | 21,262 | 23,450 | 18,551 | 170.6 | 53.33 | May 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 279,193 | 22,854 | 25,332 | 22,122 | 212.7 | 80 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 284,000 | 20,000 | 22,000 | 19,000 | 194.9 | 80 | Oct 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +1.7% | -12.5% | -13.2% | -14.1% | -8.3% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 69,905 | 5,370 | 5,167 | 3,631 | 34.4 | 7.7 | Oct 31, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 70,250 | 6,404 | 7,149 | 4,938 | 47.3 | 9.1 | Feb 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 72,583 | 6,991 | 6,958 | 7,170 | 68.9 | 9.6 | May 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 65,317 | 3,280 | 4,354 | 4,496 | 44.2 | 5.0 | Jul 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 70,317 | 5,022 | 5,762 | 5,425 | 54.2 | 7.1 | Oct 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +0.6% | -6.5% | +11.5% | +49.4% | +57.4% |
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