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IBOKIN, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward to an Unexpected 31% Decrease
5699 IBOKIN Co.,Ltd. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportIBOKIN Co.,Ltd. <5699> [TSE Std] announced its financial results in the afternoon session on November 14th (15:00). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending December 2025 (January to September) decreased 24.2% from the same period last year to 471 million yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has decreased 31.2%, from the previous forecast of 826 million yen to 568 million yen (compared to 823 million yen in the previous period). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 31.0% decrease in profit.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the consolidated ordinary profit for the July to December period (second half) has decreased 40.9%, from the previous forecast of 631 million yen to 373 million yen (compared to 378 million yen in the same period of the previous year). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 1.3% decrease in profit.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (3Q), the consolidated ordinary profit increased 56.8% from the same period last year, reaching 276 million yen. The operating profit margin improved from 7.7% in the same period last year to 10.1%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan - Sep, 2023 | 6,132 | 380 | 391 | 256 | 77.2 | 64.6 | Nov 14, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Sep, 2024 | 7,225 | 603 | 621 | 406 | 122.8 | 75.5 | Nov 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Sep, 2025 | 7,296 | 454 | 471 | 429 | 130.6 | 82.9 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +1.0% | -24.7% | -24.2% | +5.7% | +6.4% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Prev | 5,878 | 616 | 631 | 378 | 115.0 | 32 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 New | 5,328 | 364 | 373 | 307 | 93.4 | 32 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -9.4% | -40.9% | -40.9% | -18.8% | -18.8% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2025 Prev | 10,500 | 800 | 826 | 557 | 169.5 | 32 | Feb 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 New | 9,950 | 548 | 568 | 486 | 147.9 | 32 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -5.2% | -31.5% | -31.2% | -12.7% | -12.7% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2024 | 4,670 | 368 | 378 | 229 | 69.4 | 32 | Feb 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Guidance | 5,328 | 364 | 373 | 307 | 93.4 | 32 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +14.1% | -1.1% | -1.3% | +34.1% | +34.6% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2023 | 8,660 | 584 | 605 | 396 | 119.5 | 27.50 | Feb 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2024 | 9,656 | 798 | 823 | 520 | 157.5 | 32 | Feb 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 Guidance | 9,950 | 548 | 568 | 486 | 147.9 | 32 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +3.0% | -31.3% | -31.0% | -6.5% | -6.1% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 2,239 | 173 | 176 | 115 | 34.8 | 7.7 | Nov 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 2,431 | 195 | 202 | 114 | 34.5 | 8.0 | Feb 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 2,467 | 291 | 295 | 259 | 78.8 | 11.8 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 2,155 | -107 | -100 | -80 | -24.4 | -5.0 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 2,674 | 270 | 276 | 250 | 76.1 | 10.1 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +19.4% | +56.1% | +56.8% | +117.4% | +118.8% |
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