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Chuetsu Pulp & Paper, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward to an Unexpected 20% Decrease
3877 Chuetsu Pulp & Paper Co.,Ltd. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportChuetsu Pulp & Paper Co.,Ltd. <3877> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results after the market closed on November 13th (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to September) dropped 48.1% from the same period last year to 1.55 billion yen, fell short of the previous forecast of 2.10 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has decreased 21.2%, from the previous forecast of 5.20 billion yen to 4.10 billion yen (compared to 5.11 billion yen in the previous period). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 19.8% decrease in profit.
Based on the first-half performance announced by the company and the full-year plan, our calculation indicates that the consolidated ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) is expected to grow 20.3% from the same period last year, reaching 2.54 billion yen.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (2Q), the consolidated ordinary profit decreased to 1.50 billion yen, a 28.9% decrease compared to the same period last year. The operating profit margin drastically worsened from 9.2% in the same period last year to 5.3%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2023 | 52,493 | 3,304 | 3,794 | 2,569 | 198.4 | 55.6 | Nov 9, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2024 | 55,572 | 3,126 | 2,997 | 2,044 | 157.9 | 58.6 | Nov 12, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 | 53,052 | 1,355 | 1,554 | 982 | 78.2 | 37.9 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -4.5% | -56.7% | -48.1% | -52.0% | -50.4% |
First Half Results vs. Previous Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Guidance | 55,000 | 1,900 | 2,100 | 1,400 | 111.4 | 40 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Results | 53,052 | 1,355 | 1,554 | 982 | 78.2 | 40 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -3.5% | -28.7% | -26.0% | -29.9% | -29.8% |
Guidance Update
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 112,000 | 4,900 | 5,200 | 3,500 | 278.5 | 80 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 110,000 | 3,700 | 4,100 | 2,700 | 214.9 | 80 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -1.8% | -24.5% | -21.2% | -22.9% | -22.9% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 55,437 | 1,717 | 2,117 | -283 | -22.0 | 35 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 56,948 | 2,345 | 2,546 | 1,718 | 136.7 | 40 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +2.7% | +36.6% | +20.3% | - | - |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 107,826 | 6,172 | 6,820 | 3,701 | 285.9 | 60 | May 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 111,009 | 4,843 | 5,114 | 1,761 | 136.7 | 70 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 110,000 | 3,700 | 4,100 | 2,700 | 214.9 | 80 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -0.9% | -23.6% | -19.8% | +53.3% | +57.2% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 29,168 | 2,680 | 2,115 | 1,529 | 118.1 | 9.2 | Nov 12, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 27,584 | 198 | 779 | 521 | 40.2 | 0.7 | Feb 12, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 27,853 | 1,519 | 1,338 | -804 | -62.4 | 5.5 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 26,727 | -53 | 50 | -60 | -4.9 | -0.2 | Aug 7, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 26,325 | 1,408 | 1,504 | 1,042 | 83.0 | 5.3 | Nov 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -9.7% | -47.5% | -28.9% | -31.9% | -29.7% |
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