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Nomura Real Estate, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Upward by 6%, Raises Record High Profit Forecast, Dividend Revised Upward by 4 Yen
3231 Nomura Real Estate Holdings, Inc. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportNomura Real Estate Holdings, Inc. <3231> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results after the market closed on January 28th (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) decreased 20.4% from the same period last year to 70.0 billion yen.
However, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has been revised upward 5.6%, from the previous forecast of 108 billion yen to 114 billion yen (compared to 106 billion yen in the previous period), increasing the growth rate from 1.2% to 6.8%, further surpassing the previous forecast of record-high profits for five consecutive terms.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the upward revision, our estimate of the consolidated ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) is expected to increase 10.5%, from the previous forecast of 57.1 billion yen to 63.1 billion yen (compared to 47.0 billion yen in the same period of the previous year), increasing the growth rate from 21.4% to 34.1%.
In light of the strong performance, the company has increased its planned annual dividend for the current fiscal year from the original plan of 36 yen to 40 yen (compared to 170 yen before the 5-for-1 forward stock split in the previous period).
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the consolidated ordinary profit dropped to 19.2 billion yen, a 32.2% decrease compared to the same period last year. The operating profit margin decreased from 16.0% in the same period last year to 12.6%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 518,345 | 78,619 | 69,626 | 43,225 | 49.7 | 70.9 | Jan 31, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 571,854 | 98,845 | 88,069 | 62,408 | 72.3 | 82.5 | Jan 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 581,562 | 80,320 | 70,099 | 42,940 | 50.0 | 61.5 | Jan 28, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +1.7% | -18.7% | -20.4% | -31.2% | -30.8% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 542,251 | 64,806 | 57,162 | 43,642 | 51.1 | 18 | Oct 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 552,251 | 70,806 | 63,162 | 43,642 | 51.1 | 22 | Jan 28, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +1.8% | +9.3% | +10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 940,000 | 122,000 | 108,000 | 75,000 | 87.8 | 36 | Apr 24, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 950,000 | 128,000 | 114,000 | 75,000 | 87.8 | 40 | Jan 28, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +1.1% | +4.9% | +5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 376,295 | 50,595 | 47,088 | 32,321 | 37.5 | 17.50 | Apr 24, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 552,251 | 70,806 | 63,162 | 43,642 | 51.1 | 22 | Jan 28, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +46.8% | +39.9% | +34.1% | +35.0% | +36.3% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 734,715 | 112,114 | 98,248 | 68,164 | 78.5 | 28 | Apr 25, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 757,638 | 118,958 | 106,740 | 74,835 | 86.8 | 34 | Apr 24, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 950,000 | 128,000 | 114,000 | 75,000 | 87.8 | 40 | Jan 28, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +25.4% | +7.6% | +6.8% | +0.2% | +1.2% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 190,511 | 30,482 | 28,417 | 19,894 | 23.0 | 16.0 | Jan 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 185,784 | 20,113 | 18,671 | 12,427 | 14.4 | 10.8 | Apr 24, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 221,419 | 36,804 | 33,917 | 23,192 | 27.0 | 16.6 | Jul 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 176,330 | 20,390 | 16,921 | 8,166 | 9.5 | 11.6 | Oct 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 183,813 | 23,126 | 19,261 | 11,582 | 13.5 | 12.6 | Jan 28, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -3.5% | -24.1% | -32.2% | -41.8% | -41.4% |
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