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JAPAN TOBACCO, Net Income Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Upward by 10%, Highest in Ten Terms, Dividend Revised Upward by 14 Yen
2914 JAPAN TOBACCO INC. 【IFRS】
Earnings ReportJAPAN TOBACCO INC. <2914> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results (based on IFRS) after the market closed on July 31st (15:30). The consolidated net income for the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year ending December 2025 (January to June) increased 4.8% from the same period last year, reaching 319 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income has been revised upward 9.8%, from the previous forecast of 450 billion yen to 494 billion yen (compared to 179 billion yen in the previous period), increasing the growth rate from 2.5 times to 2.8 times, reaches new record high for the first time in ten terms.
Based on the first-half performance announced by the company and the full-year plan, our calculation indicates that the consolidated net income/loss for the July to December period (second half) is expected to turn into a profit of 174 billion yen (compared to a loss of 125 billion yen in the same period last year).
In light of the strong performance, the company has increased its planned annual dividend for the current fiscal year from the original plan of 194 yen to 208 yen (compared to 194 yen in the previous period).
In the most recent three-month period, from April to June (2Q), the consolidated net income grew 9.8% from the same period last year, reaching 162 billion yen. However, the operating profit margin decreased from 26.1% in the same period last year to 25.5%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan - Jun, 2023 | 1,392,812 | 413,555 | 373,430 | 287,009 | 161.7 | 60.1 | Jul 31, 2023 | IFRS |
| Jan - Jun, 2024 | 1,569,892 | 432,662 | 399,073 | 305,172 | 171.9 | 170.7 | Aug 2, 2024 | IFRS |
| Jan - Jun, 2025 | 1,734,543 | 479,871 | 437,821 | 319,905 | 180.2 | ー | Jul 31, 2025 | IFRS |
| YoY | +10.5% | +10.9% | +9.7% | +4.8% | +4.8% |
First Half Results vs. Previous Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan - Jun, 2025 Guidance | ー | ー | ー | ー | - | 97 | Feb 13, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jan - Jun, 2025 Results | 1,734,543 | 479,871 | 437,821 | 319,905 | 180.2 | 104 | Jul 31, 2025 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | - | - | - | - | - |
Guidance Update
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2025 Prev | 3,273,000 | 671,000 | ー | 450,000 | 253.5 | 194 | Feb 13, 2025 | IFRS |
| Dec, 2025 New | 3,344,000 | 739,000 | ー | 494,000 | 278.3 | 208 | Jul 31, 2025 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | +2.2% | +10.1% | - | +9.8% | +9.8% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2024 | 1,579,867 | -109,201 | -165,307 | -125,932 | -70.9 | 97 | Feb 13, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Guidance | 1,609,457 | 259,129 | ー | 174,095 | 98.1 | 104 | Jul 31, 2025 | IFRS |
| YoY | +1.9% | - | - | - | - |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2023 | 2,841,077 | 672,410 | 621,601 | 482,288 | 271.7 | 194 | Feb 13, 2024 | IFRS |
| Dec, 2024 | 3,149,759 | 323,461 | 233,766 | 179,240 | 101.0 | 194 | Feb 13, 2025 | IFRS |
| Dec, 2025 Guidance | 3,344,000 | 739,000 | ー | 494,000 | 278.3 | 208 | Jul 31, 2025 | IFRS |
| YoY | +6.2% | +128.5% | - | +175.6% | +175.6% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Jun, 2024 | 829,559 | 216,844 | 197,807 | 147,906 | 83.3 | 26.1 | Aug 2, 2024 | IFRS |
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 757,352 | 198,806 | 175,882 | 137,242 | 77.3 | 26.3 | Oct 31, 2024 | IFRS |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 822,515 | -308,007 | -341,189 | -263,174 | -148.2 | -37.4 | Feb 13, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 826,981 | 248,758 | 226,069 | 157,480 | 88.7 | 30.1 | May 7, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 907,562 | 231,113 | 211,752 | 162,425 | 91.5 | 25.5 | Jul 31, 2025 | IFRS |
| YoY | +9.4% | +6.6% | +7.0% | +9.8% | +9.8% |
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