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TOYOTA MOTOR, Net Income Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Upward by 22%
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORPORATION 【IFRS】
Earnings ReportTOYOTA MOTOR CORPORATION <7203> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results (based on IFRS) in the afternoon session on February 6th (14:00). The consolidated net income for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) decreased 26.1% from the same period last year to 3.03 trillion yen.
However, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income has been revised upward 21.8%, from the previous forecast of 2.93 trillion yen to 3.57 trillion yen (compared to 4.76 trillion yen in the previous period), and the declining rate is expected to decrease from 38.5% to 25.1%.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the upward revision, our estimate of the consolidated net income for the October to March period (second half) has been revised upward 55.3%, from the previous forecast of 1.15 trillion yen to 1.79 trillion yen (compared to 2.85 trillion yen in the same period of the previous year), and the declining rate is expected to decrease from 59.5% to 37.1%.
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the consolidated net income dropped to 1.25 trillion yen, a 42.7% decrease compared to the same period last year. The operating profit margin worsened from 9.8% in the same period last year to 8.9%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 34,022,720 | 4,240,238 | 5,357,065 | 3,947,242 | 291.9 | 76.9 | Feb 6, 2024 | IFRS |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 35,673,545 | 3,679,491 | 5,430,093 | 4,100,389 | 308.0 | 84.7 | Feb 5, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 38,087,604 | 3,196,722 | 4,188,484 | 3,030,891 | 232.6 | 83.4 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +6.8% | -13.1% | -22.9% | -26.1% | -24.5% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 24,369,247 | 1,394,308 | 1,701,873 | 1,156,574 | 88.7 | 50 | Nov 5, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 25,369,247 | 1,794,308 | 2,541,873 | 1,796,574 | 137.8 | 50 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | +4.1% | +28.7% | +49.4% | +55.3% | +55.3% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 49,000,000 | 3,400,000 | 4,180,000 | 2,930,000 | 224.8 | 95 | Nov 5, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 New | 50,000,000 | 3,800,000 | 5,020,000 | 3,570,000 | 273.9 | 95 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | +2.0% | +11.8% | +20.1% | +21.8% | +21.8% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 24,754,254 | 2,331,369 | 3,682,521 | 2,857,973 | 215.7 | 50 | May 8, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 25,369,247 | 1,794,308 | 2,541,873 | 1,796,574 | 137.8 | 50 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +2.5% | -23.0% | -31.0% | -37.1% | -36.1% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 45,095,325 | 5,352,934 | 6,965,085 | 4,944,933 | 365.9 | 75 | May 8, 2024 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2025 | 48,036,704 | 4,795,586 | 6,414,590 | 4,765,086 | 359.6 | 90 | May 8, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 50,000,000 | 3,800,000 | 5,020,000 | 3,570,000 | 273.9 | 95 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +4.1% | -20.8% | -21.7% | -25.1% | -23.8% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 12,391,095 | 1,215,274 | 2,698,024 | 2,193,276 | 164.7 | 9.8 | Feb 5, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 12,363,159 | 1,116,095 | 984,497 | 664,697 | 50.2 | 9.0 | May 8, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 12,253,326 | 1,166,141 | 1,252,152 | 841,345 | 64.6 | 9.5 | Aug 7, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 12,377,427 | 839,551 | 1,225,975 | 932,081 | 71.5 | 6.8 | Nov 5, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 13,456,851 | 1,191,030 | 1,710,357 | 1,257,465 | 96.5 | 8.9 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +8.6% | -2.0% | -36.6% | -42.7% | -41.4% |
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