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SUBARU, Net Income Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward by 22%
7270 SUBARU CORPORATION 【IFRS】
Earnings ReportSUBARU CORPORATION <7270> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results (based on IFRS) in the afternoon session on February 6th (13:00). The consolidated net income for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) significantly dropped 73.8% from the same period last year to 83.0 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income has decreased 21.9%, from the previous forecast of 160 billion yen to 125 billion yen (compared to 338 billion yen in the previous period), leading to an increase in the profit decline rate from 52.7% to 63.0%.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the consolidated net income for the October to March period (second half) has decreased 50.3%, from the previous forecast of 69.5 billion yen to 34.5 billion yen (compared to 175 billion yen in the same period of the previous year), leading to an increase in the profit decline rate from 60.2% to 80.2%.
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the consolidated net income/loss turned to a loss of 7.33 billion yen (compared to a profit of 154 billion yen in the same period last year). The operating profit/loss margin drastically worsened from 11.6% in the same period last year to -3.2%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 3,496,398 | 370,993 | 416,226 | 298,859 | 394.5 | 78.2 | Feb 8, 2024 | IFRS |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 3,536,343 | 369,150 | 426,030 | 317,402 | 428.8 | 95.0 | Feb 7, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 3,518,961 | 66,284 | 118,999 | 83,084 | 114.4 | 66.1 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | -0.5% | -82.0% | -72.1% | -73.8% | -73.3% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 2,194,338 | 97,330 | 100,521 | 69,585 | 97.3 | 58 | Nov 10, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 2,414,338 | 27,330 | 50,521 | 34,585 | 48.3 | 58 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | +10.0% | -71.9% | -49.7% | -50.3% | -50.3% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 4,580,000 | 200,000 | 230,000 | 160,000 | 223.6 | 115 | Aug 7, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 New | 4,800,000 | 130,000 | 180,000 | 125,000 | 174.7 | 115 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | +4.8% | -35.0% | -21.7% | -21.9% | -21.9% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 2,419,605 | 183,311 | 227,535 | 175,029 | 237.1 | 67 | May 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 2,414,338 | 27,330 | 50,521 | 34,585 | 48.3 | 58 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | -0.2% | -85.1% | -77.8% | -80.2% | -79.6% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 4,702,947 | 468,198 | 532,574 | 385,084 | 509.2 | 106 | May 13, 2024 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2025 | 4,685,763 | 405,308 | 448,507 | 338,062 | 458.0 | 115 | May 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 4,800,000 | 130,000 | 180,000 | 125,000 | 174.7 | 115 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +2.4% | -67.9% | -59.9% | -63.0% | -61.9% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 1,270,185 | 147,153 | 205,058 | 154,369 | 208.6 | 11.6 | Feb 7, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 1,149,420 | 36,158 | 22,477 | 20,660 | 28.0 | 3.1 | May 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 1,214,104 | 76,399 | 78,464 | 54,849 | 75.0 | 6.3 | Aug 7, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 1,171,558 | 26,271 | 51,015 | 35,566 | 48.7 | 2.2 | Nov 10, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 1,133,299 | -36,386 | -10,480 | -7,331 | -10.1 | -3.2 | Feb 6, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | -10.8% | - | - | - | - |
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