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Mitsui Chemicals, Net Income Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward by 24%
4183 Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. 【IFRS】
Earnings ReportMitsui Chemicals, Inc. <4183> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results (based on IFRS) in the afternoon session on February 5th (13:00). The consolidated net income for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) dropped 40.1% from the same period last year to 22.5 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income has decreased 23.6%, from the previous forecast of 55.0 billion yen to 42.0 billion yen (compared to 32.2 billion yen in the previous period), leading to a reduction in the profit growth rate from 70.6% to 30.3%.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the consolidated net income for the October to March period (second half) has decreased 27.6%, from the previous forecast of 47.1 billion yen to 34.1 billion yen (compared to 10.0 billion yen in the same period of the previous year), leading to a reduction in the profit growth rate from 4.7 times to 3.4 times.
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the consolidated net income decreased to 14.7 billion yen, a 4.8% decrease compared to the same period last year. However, the operating profit margin improved from 4.7% in the same period last year to 6.6%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 1,274,530 | 60,023 | 59,174 | 37,261 | 98.0 | 80.7 | Feb 7, 2024 | IFRS |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 1,338,836 | 66,901 | 65,955 | 37,711 | 99.5 | 92.1 | Feb 4, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 1,218,711 | 54,644 | 51,533 | 22,581 | 60.1 | 64.4 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | -9.0% | -18.3% | -21.9% | -40.1% | -39.6% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 886,410 | 67,063 | 61,836 | 47,157 | 125.2 | 37.50 | Nov 11, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 861,410 | 59,063 | 53,836 | 34,157 | 90.7 | 37.50 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | -2.8% | -11.9% | -12.9% | -27.6% | -27.6% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 1,700,000 | 95,000 | 88,000 | 55,000 | 146.1 | 75 | Nov 11, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 New | 1,675,000 | 87,000 | 80,000 | 42,000 | 111.5 | 75 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | -1.5% | -8.4% | -9.1% | -23.6% | -23.6% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 918,813 | 32,344 | 30,811 | 10,013 | 26.5 | 37.50 | May 13, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 861,410 | 59,063 | 53,836 | 34,157 | 90.7 | 37.50 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | -6.2% | +82.6% | +74.7% | +241.1% | +242.6% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 1,749,743 | 74,124 | 73,331 | 49,999 | 131.5 | 70 | May 15, 2024 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2025 | 1,809,164 | 78,336 | 71,647 | 32,242 | 85.3 | 75 | May 13, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 1,675,000 | 87,000 | 80,000 | 42,000 | 111.5 | 75 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | -7.4% | +11.1% | +11.7% | +30.3% | +30.8% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 448,485 | 20,909 | 25,119 | 15,482 | 40.8 | 4.7 | Feb 4, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 470,328 | 11,435 | 5,692 | -5,469 | -14.5 | 2.4 | May 13, 2025 | IFRS |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 415,350 | 12,753 | 9,953 | 729 | 2.0 | 3.1 | Aug 7, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 398,240 | 15,184 | 16,211 | 7,114 | 18.9 | 3.8 | Nov 11, 2025 | IFRS |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 405,121 | 26,707 | 25,369 | 14,738 | 39.2 | 6.6 | Feb 5, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | -9.7% | +27.7% | +1.0% | -4.8% | -4.0% |
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