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Central Japan Railway, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Upward by 5%, Raises Record High Profit Forecast
9022 Central Japan Railway Company 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportCentral Japan Railway Company <9022> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results after the market closed on February 2nd (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to December) increased 21.4% from the same period last year, reaching 656 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has been revised upward 4.6%, from the previous forecast of 691 billion yen to 723 billion yen (compared to 649 billion yen in the previous period), increasing the growth rate from 6.4% to 11.4%, further surpassing the previous forecast of record-high profits for two consecutive terms.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the upward revision, our estimate of the consolidated ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) has been revised upward 12.1%, from the previous forecast of 265 billion yen to 297 billion yen (compared to 313 billion yen in the same period of the previous year), and the declining rate is expected to decrease from 15.5% to 5.3%.
In the most recent three-month period, from October to December (3Q), the consolidated ordinary profit grew 12.5% from the same period last year, reaching 231 billion yen. The operating profit margin rose from 44.3% in the same period last year to 45.6%.
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Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Dec, 2023 | 1,273,017 | 502,597 | 455,115 | 318,770 | 324.0 | 83.2 | Jan 30, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2024 | 1,368,037 | 583,929 | 540,946 | 376,861 | 383.0 | 83.3 | Feb 3, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Dec, 2025 | 1,514,152 | 696,763 | 656,815 | 459,232 | 472.3 | 90.8 | Feb 2, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +10.7% | +19.3% | +21.4% | +21.9% | +23.3% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Prev | 954,798 | 291,949 | 265,333 | 181,884 | 189.7 | 16 | Oct 29, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 New | 986,798 | 323,949 | 297,333 | 203,884 | 212.6 | 16 | Feb 2, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +3.4% | +11.0% | +12.1% | +12.1% | +12.1% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 1,937,000 | 746,000 | 691,000 | 480,000 | 500.5 | 32 | Oct 29, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 1,969,000 | 778,000 | 723,000 | 502,000 | 523.4 | 32 | Feb 2, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +1.7% | +4.3% | +4.6% | +4.6% | +4.6% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 957,982 | 337,585 | 313,827 | 224,776 | 228.4 | 16 | Apr 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 986,798 | 323,949 | 297,333 | 203,884 | 212.6 | 16 | Feb 2, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +3.0% | -4.0% | -5.3% | -9.3% | -6.9% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 1,710,407 | 607,381 | 546,946 | 384,411 | 390.7 | 29 | Apr 30, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 1,831,847 | 702,794 | 649,294 | 458,423 | 465.9 | 31 | Apr 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 1,969,000 | 778,000 | 723,000 | 502,000 | 523.4 | 32 | Feb 2, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +7.5% | +10.7% | +11.4% | +9.5% | +12.4% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 494,172 | 218,720 | 205,479 | 143,214 | 145.5 | 44.3 | Feb 3, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 463,810 | 118,865 | 108,348 | 81,562 | 82.9 | 25.6 | Apr 30, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 478,283 | 221,225 | 207,532 | 145,211 | 147.9 | 46.3 | Jul 29, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 503,919 | 232,826 | 218,135 | 152,905 | 156.5 | 46.2 | Oct 29, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2025 | 531,950 | 242,712 | 231,148 | 161,116 | 165.7 | 45.6 | Feb 2, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +7.6% | +11.0% | +12.5% | +12.5% | +13.8% |
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