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Copa Corp, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Loss Widened in Downward Revision
7689 Copa Corporation Inc. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportCopa Corporation Inc. <7689> [TSE Growth] announced its financial results after the market closed on January 14th (15:30). The ordinary loss (non-consolidated) for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending February 2026 (March to November) was a reduced loss of 127 million yen (compared to a loss of 170 million yen in the same period last year).
However, the full-year forecast for ordinary profit/loss has been revised downward from an expected loss of 89 million yen to a loss of 196 million yen (compared to a loss of 278 million yen in the previous period), indicating an expansion in the loss margin.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the ordinary profit/loss for the September to February period (second half) has been revised downward from an expected loss of 38 million yen to a loss of 145 million yen (compared to a loss of 217 million yen in the same period of the previous year), indicating an expansion in the loss margin.
In the most recent three-month period, from September to November (3Q), the ordinary loss improved to a deficit of 76 million yen (compared to a loss of 109 million yen in the same period last year). The operating profit/loss margin drastically improved from -28.5% in the same period last year to -22.0%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar - Nov, 2023 | 1,841 | -248 | -250 | -1,148 | -387.5 | ー | Jan 12, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar - Nov, 2024 | 1,645 | -172 | -170 | -170 | -57.6 | ー | Jan 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar - Nov, 2025 | 1,482 | -128 | -127 | -128 | -43.4 | ー | Jan 14, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -9.9% | +25.6% | +25.3% | +24.7% | +24.7% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep - Feb, 2025 Prev | 1,263 | -37 | -38 | -38 | -12.8 | 0 | Oct 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Sep - Feb, 2025 New | 697 | -144 | -145 | -145 | -48.9 | 0 | Jan 14, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -44.8% | -289.2% | -281.6% | -281.6% | -281.4% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb, 2026 Prev | 2,399 | -89 | -89 | -90 | -30.4 | 0 | Apr 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Feb, 2026 New | 1,833 | -196 | -196 | -197 | -66.5 | 0 | Jan 14, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -23.6% | -120.2% | -120.2% | -118.9% | -118.9% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep - Feb, 2024 | 786 | -217 | -217 | -376 | -127.1 | 0 | Apr 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Sep - Feb, 2025 Guidance | 697 | -144 | -145 | -145 | -48.9 | 0 | Jan 14, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -11.3% | +33.6% | +33.2% | +61.4% | +61.5% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb, 2024 | 2,205 | -371 | -371 | -1,281 | -432.6 | 0 | Apr 12, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Feb, 2025 | 2,052 | -281 | -278 | -437 | -147.8 | 0 | Apr 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Feb, 2026 Guidance | 1,833 | -196 | -196 | -197 | -66.5 | 0 | Jan 14, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -10.7% | +30.2% | +29.5% | +54.9% | +55.0% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep - Nov, 2024 | 379 | -108 | -109 | -109 | -36.9 | -28.5 | Jan 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec - Feb, 2024 | 407 | -109 | -108 | -267 | -90.3 | -26.8 | Apr 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar - May, 2025 | 386 | -94 | -93 | -93 | -31.7 | -24.4 | Jul 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jun - Aug, 2025 | 750 | 42 | 42 | 41 | 13.9 | 5.6 | Oct 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Sep - Nov, 2025 | 346 | -76 | -76 | -76 | -25.8 | -22.0 | Jan 14, 2026 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -8.7% | +29.6% | +30.3% | +30.3% | +30.3% |
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