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Rise Consulting, Net Income Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward to an Unexpected 16% Decrease
9168 Rise Consulting Group, Inc. 【IFRS】
Earnings ReportRise Consulting Group, Inc. <9168> [TSE Growth] announced its financial results (based on IFRS) after the market closed on January 13th (15:30). The consolidated net income for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending February 2026 (March to November) increased 7.0% from the same period last year, reaching 0.96 billion yen.
However, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income has decreased 27.9%, from the previous forecast of 1.65 billion yen to 1.19 billion yen (compared to 1.41 billion yen in the previous period). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 16.1% decrease in profit.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the consolidated net income for the September to February period (second half) has decreased 48.8%, from the previous forecast of 0.94 billion yen to 0.48 billion yen (compared to 0.83 billion yen in the same period of the previous year). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 42.0% decrease in profit.
In the most recent three-month period, from September to November (3Q), the consolidated net income decreased to 0.26 billion yen, an 18.7% decrease compared to the same period last year. The operating profit margin decreased from 24.6% in the same period last year to 18.3%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar - Nov, 2023 | 4,396 | 1,263 | 1,243 | 855 | 35.2 | 69.8 | Jan 12, 2024 | IFRS |
| Mar - Nov, 2024 | 5,505 | 1,292 | 1,270 | 904 | 37.4 | 66.5 | Jan 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar - Nov, 2025 | 6,381 | 1,363 | 1,352 | 967 | 39.6 | 83.5 | Jan 13, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +15.9% | +5.5% | +6.5% | +7.0% | +6.0% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep - Feb, 2025 Prev | 5,177 | 1,293 | 1,282 | 945 | 38.7 | 21 | Oct 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Sep - Feb, 2025 New | 4,039 | 647 | 634 | 484 | 19.8 | 21 | Jan 13, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | -22.0% | -50.0% | -50.5% | -48.8% | -48.8% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb, 2026 Prev | 9,538 | 2,286 | 2,268 | 1,651 | 67.6 | 21 | Oct 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Feb, 2026 New | 8,400 | 1,640 | 1,620 | 1,190 | 48.7 | 21 | Jan 13, 2026 | IFRS |
| Revision Rate | -11.9% | -28.3% | -28.6% | -27.9% | -27.9% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep - Feb, 2024 | 4,100 | 1,139 | 1,105 | 835 | 34.5 | 9 | Apr 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Sep - Feb, 2025 Guidance | 4,039 | 647 | 634 | 484 | 19.8 | 21 | Jan 13, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | -1.5% | -43.2% | -42.6% | -42.0% | -42.7% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb, 2024 | 6,156 | 1,805 | 1,780 | 1,315 | 54.0 | 0 | Apr 12, 2024 | IFRS |
| Feb, 2025 | 7,680 | 1,958 | 1,909 | 1,418 | 58.7 | 9 | Apr 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Feb, 2026 Guidance | 8,400 | 1,640 | 1,620 | 1,190 | 48.7 | 21 | Jan 13, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +9.4% | -16.2% | -15.1% | -16.1% | -17.0% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep - Nov, 2024 | 1,925 | 473 | 466 | 321 | 13.3 | 24.6 | Jan 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Dec - Feb, 2024 | 2,175 | 666 | 639 | 514 | 21.3 | 30.6 | Apr 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Mar - May, 2025 | 2,207 | 492 | 487 | 348 | 14.3 | 22.3 | Jul 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Jun - Aug, 2025 | 2,154 | 501 | 499 | 358 | 14.7 | 23.3 | Oct 14, 2025 | IFRS |
| Sep - Nov, 2025 | 2,020 | 370 | 366 | 261 | 10.7 | 18.3 | Jan 13, 2026 | IFRS |
| YoY | +4.9% | -21.8% | -21.5% | -18.7% | -19.4% |
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