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JAPAN POST, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward by 6%
6178 JAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportJAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. <6178> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results after the market closed on November 14th (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to September) increased 12.6% from the same period last year, reaching 0.52 trillion yen.
However, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has decreased 5.9%, from the previous forecast of 1.02 trillion yen to 0.96 trillion yen (compared to 0.81 trillion yen in the previous period), leading to a reduction in the profit growth rate from 25.2% to 17.8%.
Based on the first-half performance announced by the company and the full-year plan, our calculation indicates that the consolidated ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) is expected to grow 24.8% from the same period last year, reaching 0.43 trillion yen.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (2Q), the consolidated ordinary profit grew 17.7% from the same period last year, reaching 0.29 trillion yen.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2023 | 5,618,183 | ー | 335,255 | 120,239 | 35.0 | 50.2 | Nov 13, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2024 | 5,511,971 | ー | 463,397 | 139,496 | 44.0 | 56.9 | Nov 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 | 5,682,434 | ー | 521,642 | 142,564 | 48.0 | 54.3 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +3.1% | - | +12.6% | +2.2% | +9.2% |
First Half Results vs. Previous Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Guidance | ー | ー | ー | ー | - | 25 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Results | 5,682,434 | ー | 521,642 | 142,564 | 48.0 | 25 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | - | - | - | - | - |
Guidance Update
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 11,260,000 | ー | 1,020,000 | 380,000 | 133.5 | 50 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 11,370,000 | ー | 960,000 | 320,000 | 112.4 | 50 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +1.0% | - | -5.9% | -15.8% | -15.8% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 5,956,397 | ー | 351,199 | 231,068 | 74.4 | 25 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 5,687,566 | ー | 438,358 | 177,436 | 62.4 | 25 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -4.5% | - | +24.8% | -23.2% | -16.2% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 11,982,152 | ー | 668,316 | 268,685 | 80.3 | 50 | May 15, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 11,468,368 | ー | 814,596 | 370,564 | 119.3 | 50 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 11,370,000 | ー | 960,000 | 320,000 | 112.4 | 50 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -0.9% | - | +17.8% | -13.6% | -5.8% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 2,776,083 | ー | 251,948 | 64,788 | 20.4 | 0.0 | Nov 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 2,814,020 | ー | 239,197 | 125,489 | 40.0 | 0.0 | Feb 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 3,142,377 | ー | 112,002 | 105,579 | 34.0 | 0.0 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 2,810,244 | ー | 225,161 | 67,702 | 22.8 | 0.0 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 2,872,190 | ー | 296,481 | 74,862 | 25.2 | 0.0 | Nov 14, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +3.5% | - | +17.7% | +15.5% | +23.4% |
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