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Idemitsu Kosan, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Upward by 52%
5019 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportIdemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. <5019> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results after the market closed on November 11th (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to September) significantly dropped 71.8% from the same period last year to 35.2 billion yen.
However, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has been revised upward 51.8%, from the previous forecast of 56.0 billion yen to 85.0 billion yen (compared to 214 billion yen in the previous period), and the declining rate is expected to decrease from 73.9% to 60.4%.
Based on the first-half performance announced by the company and the full-year plan, our calculation indicates that the consolidated ordinary profit for the October to March period (second half) is expected to drop 44.7% from the same period last year to 49.7 billion yen.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (2Q), the consolidated ordinary profit/loss turned to a profit of 49.0 billion yen (compared to a loss of 11.9 billion yen in the same period last year). The operating profit/loss margin significantly improved from -1.1% in the same period last year to 2.4%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2023 | 4,024,462 | 202,921 | 226,460 | 164,946 | 114.9 | 58.8 | Nov 14, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2024 | 4,504,025 | 97,330 | 124,883 | 99,442 | 73.0 | 58.1 | Nov 12, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 | 3,805,653 | 25,844 | 35,265 | 36,075 | 29.5 | 41.5 | Nov 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -15.5% | -73.4% | -71.8% | -63.7% | -59.6% |
First Half Results vs. Previous Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Guidance | ー | ー | ー | ー | - | 18 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Results | 3,805,653 | 25,844 | 35,265 | 36,075 | 29.5 | 18 | Nov 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | - | - | - | - | - |
Guidance Update
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 7,900,000 | 37,000 | 56,000 | 50,000 | 40.8 | 36 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 7,950,000 | 68,000 | 85,000 | 75,000 | 61.2 | 36 | Nov 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +0.6% | +83.8% | +51.8% | +50.0% | +50.0% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 4,686,200 | 64,855 | 89,881 | 4,613 | 3.5 | 18 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 4,144,347 | 42,156 | 49,735 | 38,925 | 31.8 | 18 | Nov 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -11.6% | -35.0% | -44.7% | +743.8% | +821.2% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 8,719,201 | 346,316 | 385,246 | 228,518 | 161.3 | 32 | May 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 9,190,225 | 162,185 | 214,764 | 104,055 | 77.8 | 36 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 7,950,000 | 68,000 | 85,000 | 75,000 | 61.2 | 36 | Nov 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -13.5% | -58.1% | -60.4% | -27.9% | -21.3% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 2,243,736 | -25,181 | -11,945 | 4,420 | 3.2 | -1.1 | Nov 12, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 2,372,439 | 25,945 | 40,930 | 28,012 | 20.8 | 1.1 | Feb 12, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 2,313,761 | 38,910 | 48,951 | -23,399 | -17.5 | 1.7 | May 13, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 1,843,035 | -21,015 | -13,738 | 5,243 | 4.3 | -1.1 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 1,962,618 | 46,859 | 49,003 | 30,832 | 25.2 | 2.4 | Nov 11, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -12.5% | - | - | +597.6% | +677.2% |
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