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Alfresa Holdings, Net Income Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Upward to an Unexpected 31% Increase
2784 Alfresa Holdings Corporation 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportAlfresa Holdings Corporation <2784> [TSE Prime] announced its financial results in the afternoon session on November 6th (14:30). The consolidated net income for the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 (April to September) decreased 18.1% from the same period last year to 11.5 billion yen.
However, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income has been revised upward 44.0%, from the previous forecast of 25.0 billion yen to 36.0 billion yen (compared to 27.3 billion yen in the previous period), turning to a 31.4% increase in the consolidated net income outlook.
Based on the first-half performance announced by the company and the full-year plan, our calculation indicates that the consolidated net income for the October to March period (second half) is expected to expand 83.7% from the same period last year, reaching 24.4 billion yen.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (2Q), the consolidated net income dropped to 6.51 billion yen, a 32.4% decrease compared to the same period last year. However, the operating profit margin remained almost flat, changing from 1.1% in the same period last year to 1.2%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2023 | 1,427,856 | 15,998 | 17,280 | 11,850 | 60.3 | 43.2 | Nov 7, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2024 | 1,456,355 | 14,995 | 16,279 | 14,065 | 75.3 | 40.2 | Nov 7, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 | 1,529,762 | 16,207 | 17,485 | 11,521 | 63.4 | 44.0 | Nov 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +5.0% | +8.1% | +7.4% | -18.1% | -15.8% |
First Half Results vs. Previous Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Guidance | 1,529,700 | 16,200 | 17,400 | 11,500 | 63.2 | 34 | Oct 31, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Sep, 2025 Results | 1,529,762 | 16,207 | 17,485 | 11,521 | 63.4 | 34 | Nov 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +0.2% |
Guidance Update
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2026 Prev | 3,107,000 | 37,100 | 39,700 | 25,000 | 137.6 | 68 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 New | 3,107,000 | 37,100 | 39,700 | 36,000 | 198.1 | 68 | Nov 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +44.0% | +44.0% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct - Mar, 2024 | 1,504,696 | 23,085 | 24,206 | 13,324 | 71.8 | 32 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Mar, 2025 Guidance | 1,577,238 | 20,893 | 22,215 | 24,479 | 134.7 | 34 | Nov 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +4.8% | -9.5% | -8.2% | +83.7% | +87.7% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar, 2024 | 2,858,500 | 38,460 | 39,997 | 29,558 | 154.1 | 70 | May 14, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2025 | 2,961,051 | 38,080 | 40,485 | 27,389 | 147.5 | 63 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Mar, 2026 Guidance | 3,107,000 | 37,100 | 39,700 | 36,000 | 198.1 | 68 | Nov 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +4.9% | -2.6% | -1.9% | +31.4% | +34.3% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 733,990 | 8,305 | 9,038 | 9,634 | 51.6 | 1.1 | Nov 7, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 805,969 | 16,153 | 16,882 | 11,661 | 62.5 | 2.0 | Feb 10, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 698,727 | 6,932 | 7,324 | 1,663 | 9.0 | 1.0 | May 15, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 758,118 | 6,964 | 7,655 | 5,004 | 27.5 | 0.9 | Aug 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 771,644 | 9,243 | 9,830 | 6,517 | 35.8 | 1.2 | Nov 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +5.1% | +11.3% | +8.8% | -32.4% | -30.5% |
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