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SM ENTERTAINMENT, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Downward to an Unexpected 55% Decrease
4772 SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportSM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. <4772> [TSE Growth] announced its financial results in the afternoon session on November 5th (13:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative third quarter of the fiscal year ending December 2025 (January to September) dropped 35.3% from the same period last year to 236 million yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has decreased 59.2%, from the previous forecast of 409 million yen to 167 million yen (compared to 374 million yen in the previous period). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 55.3% decrease in profit. However, the full-year forecast for consolidated net income has been revised upward 1.5%, from the previous forecast of 405 million yen to 411 million yen (compared to 787 million yen in the previous period), and the declining rate is expected to decrease from 48.5% to 47.8%.
Based on the full-year plan announced by the company after the downward revision, our estimate of the consolidated ordinary profit for the July to December period (second half) has decreased 90.6%, from the previous forecast of 267 million yen to 25 million yen (compared to 46 million yen in the same period of the previous year). This changes the outlook from an anticipated profit increase to a projection of a 45.7% decrease in profit.
In the most recent three-month period, from July to September (3Q), the consolidated ordinary profit surged 2.5 times that of the same period last year, reaching 94 million yen. The operating profit margin improved from 1.9% in the same period last year to 3.4%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan - Sep, 2023 | 7,499 | 366 | 376 | 318 | 2.8 | 196.9 | Nov 2, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Sep, 2024 | 7,521 | 363 | 365 | 307 | 2.7 | 97.6 | Nov 6, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Sep, 2025 | 7,463 | 225 | 236 | 460 | 4.0 | 141.3 | Nov 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -0.8% | -38.0% | -35.3% | +49.8% | +50.2% |
Guidance Update
Second Half Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Prev | 4,999 | 267 | 267 | 40 | 0.3 | 2 | Aug 4, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 New | 4,728 | 15 | 25 | 46 | 0.4 | 2 | Nov 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -5.4% | -94.4% | -90.6% | +15.0% | +17.6% |
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2025 Prev | 9,866 | 405 | 409 | 405 | 3.5 | 2 | Feb 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 New | 9,595 | 153 | 167 | 411 | 3.6 | 2 | Nov 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | -2.7% | -62.2% | -59.2% | +1.5% | +1.7% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2024 | 4,523 | 46 | 46 | 503 | 4.4 | 1 | Feb 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Guidance | 4,728 | 15 | 25 | 46 | 0.4 | 2 | Nov 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +4.5% | -67.4% | -45.7% | -90.9% | -90.8% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2023 | 8,910 | 181 | 191 | 261 | 2.3 | 0 | Feb 6, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2024 | 9,716 | 364 | 374 | 787 | 6.8 | 1 | Feb 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 Guidance | 9,595 | 153 | 167 | 411 | 3.6 | 2 | Nov 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | -1.2% | -58.0% | -55.3% | -47.8% | -47.8% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 2,328 | 45 | 37 | 23 | 0.2 | 1.9 | Nov 6, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 2,195 | 1 | 9 | 480 | 4.2 | 0.0 | Feb 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 2,180 | 42 | 47 | 41 | 0.4 | 1.9 | May 2, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 2,687 | 96 | 95 | 324 | 2.8 | 3.6 | Aug 4, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2025 | 2,596 | 87 | 94 | 95 | 0.8 | 3.4 | Nov 5, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +11.5% | +93.3% | +154.1% | +313.0% | +310.0% |
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