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McDonald Japan, Ordinary Profit Forecast for the Fiscal Year Revised Upward by 2%, Raises Record High Profit Forecast
2702 McDonald's Holdings Company(Japan),Ltd. 【J-GAAP】
Earnings ReportMcDonald's Holdings Company(Japan),Ltd. <2702> [TSE Std] announced its financial results after the market closed on August 8th (15:30). The consolidated ordinary profit for the cumulative second quarter of the fiscal year ending December 2025 (January to June) increased 7.7% from the same period last year, reaching 26.1 billion yen.
In addition, the full-year forecast for consolidated ordinary profit has been revised upward 2.1%, from the previous forecast of 48.5 billion yen to 49.5 billion yen (compared to 47.3 billion yen in the previous period), increasing the growth rate from 2.3% to 4.5%, further surpassing the previous forecast of record-high profits for three consecutive terms.
Based on the first-half performance announced by the company and the full-year plan, our calculation indicates that the consolidated ordinary profit for the July to December period (second half) is expected to grow 1.0% from the same period last year, reaching 23.3 billion yen.
In the most recent three-month period, from April to June (2Q), the consolidated ordinary profit grew 12.5% from the same period last year, reaching 14.3 billion yen. The operating profit margin rose from 12.5% in the same period last year to 14.0%.
Kabutan News
Actual Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Progress Rate vs. First Half | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan - Jun, 2023 | 182,460 | 18,011 | 17,980 | 11,370 | 85.5 | 44.1 | Aug 10, 2023 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Jun, 2024 | 200,996 | 23,748 | 24,278 | 14,893 | 112.0 | 51.2 | Aug 9, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Jun, 2025 | 203,314 | 26,222 | 26,153 | 16,796 | 126.3 | 52.8 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +1.2% | +10.4% | +7.7% | +12.8% | +12.8% |
First Half Results vs. Previous Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan - Jun, 2025 Guidance | ー | ー | ー | ー | - | 0 | Feb 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Jun, 2025 Results | 203,314 | 26,222 | 26,153 | 16,796 | 126.3 | 0 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | - | - | - | - | - |
Guidance Update
Full Year Update
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2025 Prev | 412,500 | 49,500 | 48,500 | 30,500 | 229.4 | 56 | Feb 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 New | 412,500 | 51,000 | 49,500 | 31,000 | 233.2 | 56 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Revision Rate | 0.0% | +3.0% | +2.1% | +1.6% | +1.6% |
Current Period Guidance
Second Half Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul - Dec, 2024 | 204,481 | 24,273 | 23,111 | 17,068 | 128.4 | 49 | Feb 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Dec, 2025 Guidance | 209,186 | 24,778 | 23,347 | 14,204 | 106.8 | 56 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +2.3% | +2.1% | +1.0% | -16.8% | -16.8% |
Current Period Guidance
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Adj. Dividend | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec, 2023 | 381,989 | 40,877 | 40,734 | 25,163 | 189.3 | 42 | Feb 8, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2024 | 405,477 | 48,021 | 47,389 | 31,961 | 240.4 | 49 | Feb 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Dec, 2025 Guidance | 412,500 | 51,000 | 49,500 | 31,000 | 233.2 | 56 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +1.7% | +6.2% | +4.5% | -3.0% | -3.0% |
Quarterly Results
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Operating Profit | Ordinary Profit | Net Profit | Adj. EPS | Operating Profit Margin | Announce | Accounting Standards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr - Jun, 2024 | 99,627 | 12,491 | 12,710 | 8,162 | 61.4 | 12.5 | Aug 9, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Jul - Sep, 2024 | 102,617 | 13,412 | 13,401 | 9,359 | 70.4 | 13.1 | Nov 8, 2024 | J-GAAP |
| Oct - Dec, 2024 | 101,864 | 10,861 | 9,710 | 7,709 | 58.0 | 10.7 | Feb 6, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Jan - Mar, 2025 | 101,217 | 11,947 | 11,848 | 7,621 | 57.3 | 11.8 | May 9, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| Apr - Jun, 2025 | 102,097 | 14,275 | 14,305 | 9,175 | 69.0 | 14.0 | Aug 8, 2025 | J-GAAP |
| YoY | +2.5% | +14.3% | +12.5% | +12.4% | +12.4% |
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